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The Indian Strategy of The Jane Street Scandal

BY ANAVI DESHMUKH / January 9th, 2026 
DESIGNED BY
Ishita Kumar

Risk is the constant of the stock market. But when expectations are distorted by the manipulation of large trading organizations, losing becomes inescapable for an individual trader. 

        n July 2, 2025, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) issued an interim order alleging that Jane Street, a private quantitative trading firm, manipulated index derivatives on expiry days by coordinating cash‑market trades with positions in Bank Nifty and Nifty options, thereby distorting settlement dynamics (SEBI, 2025, Interim Order). SEBI argued that concentrated expiry‑day order flow and timing advantages created informational asymmetries, and consequently barred Jane Street from accessing Indian securities markets on an interim basis. Jane Street has denied the allegations, maintaining that its trading practices were ethical. This case exposes potential gaps in India’s derivatives oversight and raises broader questions about market probity  and investor protection. This article will analyse the episode comprehensively, examining its causes and implications. 

As The Hindu’s editorial argued on Oct 29, 2025,  “Jane Street has completely eroded confidence in the sanctity of Indian markets. India’s premier indices were held hostage to the whims of one single unscrupulous player. This continued for 2 years. It is fairly humiliating and embarrassing for us as a country.” 

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Jane Street has completely eroded confidence in the sanctity of Indian markets. India’s premier indices were held hostage to the whims of one single unscrupulous player.This continued for two years. It is fairly humiliating and embarrassing for us as a country.”

Newcomers are often eager to strategise quick gains, commit large sums without a meticulous study of derivatives’ complexities. Such behaviour, though gradual in its build-up, can prove erosive, especially when unchecked speculation collides with systematic manipulation. The Jane Street case is not just a scandal but a cautionary tale; it underscores the need for investors to show prudence, regulators to enforce discipline, and markets to cultivate resilience. 

 

​A derivative is a kind of financial contract between two or more parties, the value of which fluctuates based on the price of one or more underlying assets. Traders can purchase these agreements and utilize them to hedge against risk, speculate on the asset's movement, or leverage a position.

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​Background

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​Jane Street Capital— a growing New York based company that built its market reputation around quantitative thinking on market uncertainties— held a solid position across all aspects of the market until recently (Pandey, 2025).  Jane Street Capital's record in the market had been impeccable, with its performance graph rising almost unidirectionally. Ironically, this exceptional performance attracted scrutiny, specifically since 2023. The spotlight intensified when Jane Street filed a lawsuit against their competitor, Millennium Management, whom they accused of poaching their experts and exposing their proprietary market strategy. In this legal battle,, Jane Street pronounced their trading strategy as strictly confidential, which only drew more attention to the "secret” of their success (Jane Street, 2025).

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It was during this courtroom battle that the ter “India Strategy” surfaced, referring to Jane Street’s proprietary approach in the country’s derivatives markets. The disclosure, though limited, was enough to spark curiosity among regulators and market participants alike. Soon it prompted India's Securities and Exchange Board to investigate the algorithms, raising major ethical concerns about the options and trading segment of NIFTY 50, India's largest market index

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Options Trading is a sophisticated form of betting on market movements. Imagine believing that during exam season, more students will buy pens, driving up Reynolds' stock value. One could place a "bet" with someone who owns Reynolds shares by offering them INR 20 on the condition that if the share value doubles, they'll sell you the share at today's price. If that bet wins and the share price surges by 200% next month, the friend sells the share at the old price and you can immediately sell this share in the market at the current higher price, earning a profit equal to the difference minus the INR 20 paid to place the bet (Investopedia, n.d.).While this may seem straightforward, options trading requires substantial expertise and capital to be profitable – it's far from a simple gamble (NISM, 2023).

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What followed was one of the most comprehensive market investigations in Indian regulatory history. SEBI's team analysed trading data at the minute level, constructed detailed timelines, and used advanced analytics to trace the twisted web of Jane Street's operations.   

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​Statistical Analysis

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            

SEBI’s interim order (2025) reported that between January 2023 and March 2025, Jane Street’s India operations generated aggregate profits of about INR 36,500 crore. Jane Street made INR 43,289.33 crore from index options alone, while simultaneously recording cumulative losses of INR 7,687.21 crore in other market segments, including stock futures, index futures, and cash trading. This was not random trading success; it was surgical precision in extracting profits from one specific area while bearing calculated losses elsewhere. (SEBI, 2025, Interim Order, Annexure I).

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SEBI’s provisional findings highlight that on January 17, 2024, Jane Street earned INR 734.93 crore in a single trading session — more than many listed firms generate in an entire year (SEBI, 2025, Interim Order, Annexure II).

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​Alleged trading mechanics

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Jane Street's "India Strategy" was a smooth manipulation technique that exploited structural vulnerabilities in India's derivative markets, particularly around Bank Nifty (the banking sector index comprising 12 major banking stocks) (Shekhar, 2025; SEBI, 2025).

 

Pandey (2025) notes that during the review period, average daily turnover in Bank Nifty options was approximately 353 times larger than the cash turnover of its top constituent stocks (Pandey, 2025, Working Paper, Table 2).

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This created a perfect storm of opportunity. Over 1.615 million unique traders participated in Bank Nifty options, compared to just 4,675 traders in the underlying cash market of the top three Bank Nifty stocks. Jane Street realised they could move the entire index by strategically trading relatively small amounts in the cash market (Pandey, 2025).

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As per SEBI, Jane Street deployed two distinct strategies across different trading days, both designed to manufacture certainty in an uncertain market:

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Strategy 1: "Intraday Index Manipulation" (Used on 15 out of 18 examined trading days)
This was Jane Street's primary approach, executed with clockwork precision:

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  1. Morning Setup (9:15 AM - 11:47 AM): Jane Street aggressively bought INR 4,000+ crore worth of Bank Nifty constituent stocks, becoming the single largest buyer and accounting for 15-25% of total trading volume in major banking stocks like ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, and SBI. This massive buying pressure would artificially inflate the Bank Nifty index.

  2. The Options Play: While pushing up stock prices, Jane Street simultaneously built INR 32,000+ crore bearish positions in Bank Nifty options - betting that the index would fall. They bought cheap "put" options and sold expensive "call" options, positioning themselves to profit from an eventual decline.

  3. Afternoon Reversal (11:49 AM - 3:30 PM): Jane Street then aggressively sold practically all the cash and futures positions they had built in the morning, creating massive downward pressure on the same stocks. This pushed the Bank Nifty down, making their "put" options profitable and "call" options worthless (SEBI, 2025).

For every INR 1 Jane Street lost on manipulative cash/futures trades, they gained  approximately INR 6 in options profits.

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In trading terminology, a bearish position means betting that prices will decline, meaning they were positioned to profit if the banking index fell (SEBI, 2025).

If prices are expected to fall, it's termed a "put" option in options trading.

When expecting prices to rise, this bet is called a "call" option in options trading.

Strategy 2: "Extended Marking the Close" (Used on 3 days)
Jane Street would remain relatively passive throughout most of the trading day, then in the final 45-60 minutes, execute massive trades to push the index in their favor just before the market closed. Since options settle based on the closing index value, this last-minute manipulation could yield enormous profits from their pre-existing options positions (SEBI, 2025).

WhatsApp Image 2026-01-07 at 11.59.23 PM.jpeg

Illustrated: Unknown, via Pinterest  

Repercussions linked to the scandal 

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While Jane Street was celebrating record profits, millions of retail traders were experiencing the opposite reality. According to SEBI’s interim findings, nearly 93% of retail F&O traders incurred losses during FY24–25. Media coverage reported that 1.13 crore retail traders collectively lost about INR 1.8 lakh crore, with average individual losses of nearly INR 2 lakh (Economic Times, 2024; SEBI, 2025, Interim Order).

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The statistics reveal a disturbing pattern: while Jane Street was using sophisticated algorithms and co-located servers providing microsecond trading speeds, retail traders were relying on free charting apps and mobile trading platforms with two-second execution delays. It was David versus Goliath, except David didn't even know he was in a fight (Business Today, 2023). The harsh reality is that if 91% of retail traders are losing money, the odds are heavily stacked against individual investors.

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As Siddhartha Bhaiya, a Mumbai-based money manager, aptly described it, the derivative trading boom turned the NSE into "India's Las Vegas - without any of the glamour" (Business Today, 2023). Behind this surge in retail options trading lies the rise of unregulated financial influencers on social media platforms.

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​Regulatory reforms and remaining gaps

The National Institute of Securities Markets (2023) observed that unregulated financial influencers on platforms such as YouTube, Instagram, and Telegram have accelerated retail participation in high-risk derivatives. Many promote speculative strategies without adequate disclosure, creating significant information asymmetry between influencers and retail traders (NISM, 2023)

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K. Vamshi Kumar, a 31-year-old software engineer from Hyderabad, left his job to trade full-time and died by suicide after heavy losses; A 27-year-old engineer in Odisha lost INR 50 lakh - all borrowed money; Bhuvanesh, a Chennai trader, took his life after losing INR 10 lakh (Pandey, 2025); and many more...

 

Social media has become a platform for so‑called ‘finfluencers’ who promote techniques promising rapid success, often presenting options trading as a shortcut to profit.

Social media has become a platform for so‑called ‘finfluencers’ who promote techniques promising rapid success, often presenting options trading as a shortcut to profit. They attract newcomers to paid courses, claiming to teach effective trading strategies. However, deception often occurs, as influencers selectively disclose their portfolios and emphasize only certain aspects of options trading. As a result, clients may not understand how much of the influencer’s income depends on such strategies, and may overcommit their own funds in pursuit of similar profits. ​This is a classic example of information asymmetry between a “financial coach” and an aspiring trader. Similarly, online trading games, betting platforms, and gambling apps glorify quick money and deliberately target vulnerable individuals seeking financial gains. The algorithms are arranged to convince players of their supposed ‘luck’ and foster overconfidence in many players. Then begins the vicious cycle of debt trap. Hence, the rise of financial influencers and the gamification of trading through mobile apps has created an environment where young Indians are drawn into high-risk derivative trading without fully understanding the odds stacked against them. Therefore, it is crucial to remember that sustainable wealth creation comes through education, skill development, and long-term investing - not through speculative trading strategies promoted on social media (NISM, 2023).

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SEBI imposed its penalty on July 3, 2025, and the market's reaction revealed just how dependent India's derivatives ecosystem had become on Jane Street's operations (SEBI, 2025). On July 4, 2025, the derivatives market turnover crashed by 21%— from INR 601.2 lakh crore to INR 472.5 lakh crore. This wasn't just a temporary blip, it represented the lowest turnover since May 8, 2025.

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For SEBI and India's markets, this case wasn't just about one foreign trading firm,it exposed fundamental flaws in how India regulated its financial infrastructure.Before the scandal, index providers operated with minimal oversight, loose disclosure requirements, and essentially self-regulated. The Jane Street case forced a complete re-evaluation of this approach.

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​Policy implications

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Index providers now are required to register with SEBI as Market Infrastructure Institutions, placing them on par with stock exchanges and clearing corporations. SEBI deployed AI-based systems to monitor price-volume spikes before index announcements and implemented real-time surveillance of expiry day trades. Fund managers must now disclose rebalancing dates and strategies with greater frequency, and enhanced audit trails are mandatory for compliance teams. NSE and BSE revised index publication calendars to reduce timing asymmetries and implemented stronger surveillance mechanisms (Shekhar, 2025).

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Meanwhile, the derivatives market continues to grapple with the aftermath. SEBI’s September 2024 study covering FY22–FY24 found that over 90% of retail traders incurred net losses (SEBI, 2024, Research Report). Subsequent media reports citing SEBI’s provisional FY25 data indicated that 91% of retail traders continued to lose money, with aggregate losses widening to INR 1.06 lakh crore — a 41% increase from FY24 (Economic Times, 2024).

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The Jane Street case vindicates the principle that market integrity must anchor India’s financial future.​

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The Jane Street case vindicates the principle that market integrity must anchor India’s financial future. Regulators now face a lucid but credible challenge: an arms race where marginal analysis of innovation must be weighed against fairness, and where time preference for short‑term gains cannot eclipse long‑term stability. Success will mean reforms that enhance earnings visibility and investor confidence, rather than cursory fixes that leave markets vulnerable to manipulation.

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Keywords 

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Indian Strategy, Jane Street, index derivatives, Bank Nifty, Nifty options, expiry day trading, cash market influence, index manipulation, price discovery distortion, options market dominance, high frequency trading, algorithmic execution, timing advantage, settlement manipulation, cash futures reversal, put call positioning, information asymmetry, structural market gaps, retail trader losses, market integrity​​

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​References​​​

 

  1. Business Today. (2023, November 20). NSE is India’s Las Vegas—Mumbai-based money manager equates options trading with gambling. https://www.businesstoday.in/markets/market-perspective/story/nse-is-indias-las-vegas-mumbai-based-money-manager-equates-options-trading-with-gambling-406404-2023-11-20

  2.  Document-drama: SAT seeks Sebi reply on Jane Street plea. (2025, September 10). Times of India. https://ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/web/direct-files/attachments/42539169/8214ace0-c04b-4b25-bdc4-381bcf563b38/Document-drama_-SAT-seeks-Sebi-reply-on-Jane-Street-plea-Times-of-India.pdf

  3. 3)  Explained: Jane Street is fighting back against Sebi. (2025, September 12). The Economic Times. https://ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/web/direct-files/attachments/42539169/86dded0c-1d12-45a1-b8f8-714be678eda0/Explained_-Jane-Street-is-fighting-back-against-Sebi.-How-will-this-saga-play-out_-The-Economic-Times.pdf

  4.  India’s options trading boom hides billions of losses for retail traders. (2024, February 20). The Economic Times. https://economictimes.com/markets/options/indias-options-trading-boom-hides-billions-of-losses-for-retail-traders/articleshow/107653413.cms

  5.  Investopedia. (n.d.). Bear position. Investopedia. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bear-position.asp

  6.  National Institute of Securities Markets. (2023). Equity-linked exchange traded derivative contracts: The retail rush and regulatory measures. https://www.nism.ac.in/equity-linked-exchange-traded-derivative-contracts-the-retail-rush-and-regulatory-measures/

  7.  Pandey, J. (2025, July). Index manipulation vs index arbitrage: Economic impacts of the Jane Street scandal (Working paper). SSRN. https://ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/web/direct-files/attachments/42539169/83383ce2-8679-4bde-99fe-36ca63069cb7/ssrn-5391949.pdf

  8.  Securities and Exchange Board of India. (2024, September). Study: Analysis of profits and losses in the equity derivatives segment (FY22–FY24). https://www.sebi.gov.in/reports-and-statistics/research/sep-2024/study-analysis-of-profits-and-losses-in-the-equity-derivatives-segment-fy22-fy24-_86905.html

  9.  Securities and Exchange Board of India. (2025, July 2). Interim order in the matter of index manipulation by Jane Street Group. https://ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/web/direct-files/attachments/42539169/a3a8e381-fafc-4be1-9ebd-caf38c3a68a5/1751584518593.pdf

  10.  Shekhar, C. (2025). Jane Street case marks a turning point in SEBI’s index governance strategy (Working paper). SSRN. https://ppl-ai-file-upload.s3.amazonaws.com/web/direct-files/attachments/42539169/d0ebf925-381d-428c-a3e7-93101a8f9702/ssrn-5341047.pdf

  11.  The Hindu. (2025, October 29). What harm Jane Street has done to Indian capital markets and retail investors?   https://www.thehindu.com/business/jane-street-has-completely-eroded-confidence-in-the-sanctity-of-indian-markets/article69776323.ece

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